Impact
In Korea’s 9th nationwide local elections (2026), Alea Capta’s AI election forecasting system AIPP came within 0.4 percentage points of the actual count in Seoul and called 14 of 16 metropolitan races (87.5%), verified after the fact with National Election Commission count data.
Every Alea Capta project is a commercial case delivered to a real client.
Proven forecasts, recorded results.
In Korea’s 9th nationwide local elections in 2026, our AI election forecasting system AIPP proved its accuracy against real results. Instead of polling, it builds an “AI voter panel” of about 256,000 people reflecting real demographics, and asks them directly.
- 0.4%pSeoul forecast vs. actual countMost precise
- ±0.5%pAverage error in key battlegroundsBattleground avg. error
- 87.5%14 of 16 metropolitan races calledMetro mayor hit rate
- Verified after the fact with National Election Commission count data
- Reviewed by policy institutes of major Korean parties
- Listed as an exemplary case in the election white paper
Policy chatbot
We built and deployed a conversational AI for election campaigns that explains every pledge of a candidate and answers citizens’ questions in real time.
AI campaign operations app
For local elections nationwide, we built and delivered an app that generates and manages schedules, optimizes routes, and drafts pledges and speeches for each campaign stop.
See also
Last updated: